UNICA revises sugarcane, ethanol projections

By Erin Voegele | October 04, 2013

UNICA, the sugarcane association of Brazil, has revised its sugarcane forecast for the 2013-’14 season, reducing the crush estimate by 0.44 percent, from 589.6 million metric tons to 587 million metric tons. The new estimate is a 10.18 percent increase when compared to the volume of sugarcane processed during the previous harvest.

UNICA also reported that the sugar content estimate for the cane has also been reduced by 1.98 percent, for a new projected level of 136.7 kilograms of total recoverable sugars per ton of cane. The new estimate is 1.16 percent lower than last year’s sugar content rate of 135.57 kilograms of total recoverable sugars per ton.

The new forecast for ethanol is 25.37 billion liters of production, including 10.9 billion liters of anhydrous ethanol and 14.14 billion liters of hydrous ethanol. UNICA forecasts 2.7 billion liters of ethanol will be exported.

In late September, UNICA reported that sugarcane processing mills in the country’s South Central region processed 42.84 million tons of sugarcane during the first half of September, up 2.09 percent compared to the quantity processed during the same period of last year. However, the volume of sugarcane processed decreased by 11.73 percent compared to data for the second half of August.

From the start of the current season through mid-September, the cane crush totaled 406.26 million tons, up 16.21 compared to the same period of 2012.

Approximately 49.14 percent of the sugarcane processed during the first half of September was converted into ethanol. During the first half of September 2012, 49.5 percent of the sugarcane was processed into ethanol.

The region produced 1.88 billion liters (269.46 million gallons of ethanol during the first half of September, including 1.02 billion liters of hydrous ethanol and 864.77 million liters of anhydrous ethanol. According to UNICA, total ethanol production so far this season has reached approximately 17.24 billion liters.

UNICA also reports that South-Central mills sold 1.02 billion liters of ethanol during the first half of September, up from 971.73 million liters during the same period of last year. Approximately 117.38 million liters of the sales volume was exported.

From April 1 through mid-September, South-Central mills sold 12.02 billion liters of ethanol, with 1.74 billion gallons of that volume exported.